Working Document Series Open Access 2012 RUF-31602

Micro Credit Intervention in Rural Poor Households and Its Effects on Household Vulnerability to Poverty

J.M. Kiiru

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Abstract

142 words

Empirical studies have suggested the possibility of fuelling vulnerability among households by microfinance programmes through indebting the poor. Hulme and Mosley (1996) found that there exists a tradeoff between changes in income and vulnerability for poor households: Poverty-as measured by income can be reduced by borrowing, but such debt can make the poor more vulnerable because of the added risks associated with borrowing. This study set out to establish if there exists any direct relationship between microfinance and vulnerability to poverty. We constructed a relative wealth index and a relative poverty line, and observed households over a period of eighteen months. We used a Probit model to estimate the probability that a household becomes vulnerable in future. Both participants in microfinance and non participants were included in the study. Poorer people tended to take smaller loans with a more frequent repayment period.

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